The doom justifies the valuation

I’ve been in Berkeley for the last 2 weeks. I haven’t really been back here for a while, and it’s worse than you can believe. This is a cult of atheistic hedonists needing AI doom to be true to justify their life choices. Or acceleration. Or something. They need to make impact. I mean, narcissism of small differences to an extent, but I stopped long before these people did. If San Francisco was nuked tomorrow, the world would feel a weight off their shoulders. 内卷

This isn’t technology, this is a mind virus. New York wants a couple basis points so they can maintain their lifestyle, Los Angeles wants a bit of your attention so they can feel famous, SF wants to come for your inner life and pimp you out and mediate every interaction and there’s not even a so.

Read the GLM-5.2 blog post. This is how I imagined AI progress being, and this is frontier stuff, the model is on par with Opus 4.8 and GPT-5.5. It’s a pleasant technical look into how things are slowly improving. This is what comma blog posts look like also. This is the world of technology I love.

Now look at the Anthropic blog. It looks totally different. From this post: AI is advancing at exponential speed, and the policymaking process was built for a slower world. And this one: …recursive self-improvement is not inevitable. But it could come sooner than most institutions are prepared for.

It’s all just nonsensical hype, it’s not about technology. It’s a questionable promise of future technology. The reason they can’t just write technical blog posts is that the current technology doesn’t justify the valuation. From schizoposting:

The only possible conclusion is that it’s designed to cause panic. In fact,
it is optimized for it: there is no possible framing of the actual
product(s) that could possibly induce more psychological spiraling in
the media and its audience. “The AI Apocalypse?” has provided a yearslong news cycle and an infinite spawner of contrived Discourse, which
has primarily served to contextualize the AI industry’s valuation around
not reality but hypothetical future value—i.e. a baseless assertion of
infinite growth between the lines of a public-facing eschatology.

Something is really wrong with the current system if this is how it needs to make you feel to continue operating. How can we stop this from happening next time? How can we enforce consequences on the people who did this? 摆烂

The adults in the room are starting to call BS on the “AI is gonna take everyone’s jobs” thing. How much longer does this bubble have? And like most cults when the end times don’t come they are just going to fade out and everyone forgets. No accountability. Remember when everyone died during COVID? And when we finally ended racism during DEI? Can someone write an AI 2027 but instead of some totalizing doom propaganda it talks about the bubble unwinding and what we can do to prevent this kind of crap in the future? How do we build an economy and society that’s sustainable?